Srinagar: Mostly dry weather conditions are expected till 22 December, even as a weak Western Disturbance is passing over J&K currently which may cause light rain/snow at a few places(otherwise dry weather is expected).
By 16 December, minimum temperatures will again start to drop.
Between 17 and 19 December, severe cold wave conditions are expected in most parts of J&K.
Below -5°C night temperatures are likely at most places in Kashmir.
Minimum temperature in Srinagar during this period can stay in between -5°C to -8°C, while in other plains like Shopian it can drop to -10°C.
3 – 4°C drop is also expected in day temperatures, despite expected sunny days.
Exception to this forecast could only occur if cloud cover persists during the night, however, chances of that are less than 10%.
Not only in J&K, temperatures in Afghanistan, north and central Pakistan, north India plains (extending up-to central India parts) are also likely to witness a significant drop.
After 22 December, it seems a chain of Western Disturbances will arrive in J&K, however accuracy of which can’t be yet accurately predicted.
Regards: Kashmir Weather, an independent weather forecaster.
